Citigroup now expects Fed to hike interest rate in November

FILE PHOTO: The Citigroup Inc logo is seen at the SIBOS banking and financial conference in Toronto

(Reuters) -Citigroup now expects the U.S. Federal Reserve to raise its key interest rate by 25 basis points (bps) in November, compared with its previous forecast of a September hike.

According to Citigroup economists led by Andrew Hollenhorst, the recent inflation data raised expectations that the Fed would “pause” during the policy meeting next week.

“The slightly stronger-than-expected reading is likely to keep the Fed leaving the 2023 median ‘dot’ unchanged,” Citigroup economists wrote in a note dated Wednesday.

Traders see a 97% chance of the Fed holding rates in September and a near 60% likelihood of a November pause, the CME FedWatch Tool data showed.

(Reporting by Subhadeep Chakravarty in Bengaluru; Editing by Krishna Chandra Eluri and Shilpi Majumdar)